Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Dicker and Cramer: Buy Haliiburton Now While It Tries to Buy Baker Hughes

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- I was talking to Jim Cramer today about the buyout of Baker Hughes by Halliburton , potentially making the world's largest oil services company. I believe that the opportunity lies in buying Halliburton shares today. While Halliburton and Baker Hughes have been rumored to be talking about a merger for years, I believe the current low crude oil price was the deciding factor in the deal finally being struck. There are clearly several pressures on oil services companies when oil prices are low, as exploration and production companies will look to lower capital expenditures and reduce the number of new projects they commit to. Must Read: 12 Stocks Warren Buffett Loves in 2014 The prices for the shares of both of these services companies have suffered with the dropping price of the crude barrel, and the timing of this merger seems to suggest that both companies don't believe that oil prices are likely to recover any time soon. Even so, Halliburton was willing to pay a large premium for Baker Hughes, giving $35 billion in stock and cash to get the deal done. Only tremendous economies of scale could make such a premium worthwhile and BHI stock has soared on the prospect of this merger being approved. There is still some premium left in Baker Hughes stock, because it is hardly a sure thing that this deal will be approved by the Justice Department. A very good case could be made for competitive advantage with the combination of these two behemoths, but the Justice Department has shown little interest in slowing or halting oil sector consolidation deals, unless they have contained a foreign participant as the acquirer. I believe Justice will look the other way on this deal too. Still, I believe the better opportunity lies with Halliburton, under pressure for the deep premium they paid for BHI and trading at their 52-week low of $48 a share. This combined company will control huge swaths of the offshore drilling and onshore fracking market and will be poised to ride any oil rebound that occurs. And that oil rebound, while it may not be soon, is absolutely inevitable. Must Read: Why the Forecast for Coal and Coal Stocks Is So Overcast At the time of publication, the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. Follow @dan_dicker // This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage. TheStreet Ratings team rates HALLIBURTON CO as a Buy with a ratings score of A-. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation: "We rate HALLIBURTON CO (HAL) a BUY. This is based on the convergence of positive investment measures, which should help this stock outperform the majority of stocks that we rate. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, compelling growth in net income, impressive record of earnings per share growth, largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures and notable return on equity. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows weak operating cash flow." You can view the full analysis from the report here: HAL Ratings Report


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